Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 1.708434 1.971678 2.256487 2.586830 2.958721 3.363700 3.837331
2024-10-13 1.294226 1.655485 2.081380 2.617342 3.270325 4.036361 4.999036
2024-10-20 0.983507 1.381053 1.887154 2.571193 3.462960 4.576571 6.061440
2024-10-27 0.799958 1.220379 1.792933 2.615855 3.751847 5.245997 7.337169
2024-11-03 0.661797 1.089223 1.707962 2.647306 4.010666 5.886035 8.621410
2024-11-10 0.549140 0.970590 1.616288 2.646929 4.211987 6.452424 9.841304
2024-11-17 0.452155 0.856072 1.509357 2.602475 4.333623 6.904285 10.923350
2024-11-24 0.373269 0.755346 1.406221 2.544955 4.420464 7.301295 11.943590
2024-12-01 0.321725 0.692154 1.353745 2.558619 4.613526 7.865401 13.245967
2024-12-08 0.274198 0.626936 1.286976 2.536917 4.741567 8.331103 14.421006
2024-12-15 0.246120 0.594231 1.273076 2.603441 5.019457 9.050729 16.038205
2024-12-22 0.215364 0.549953 1.230514 2.611211 5.192992 9.607021 17.421521
2024-12-29 0.199497 0.536389 1.248488 2.739044 5.600151 10.598773 19.615255
2025-01-05 0.180929 0.513328 1.244417 2.824515 5.939206 11.501007 21.723362
2025-01-12 0.155544 0.468642 1.188286 2.799256 6.067955 12.044046 23.251375
2025-01-19 0.139968 0.445098 1.174453 2.858473 6.362789 12.902070 25.380590
2025-01-26 0.125009 0.419805 1.152663 2.897551 6.619953 13.706634 27.460473
2025-02-02 0.109808 0.390245 1.116145 2.899448 6.800729 14.378926 29.337747
2025-02-09 0.094162 0.355424 1.061100 2.852330 6.874375 14.850576 30.870164
2025-02-16 0.080127 0.321725 1.003109 2.790458 6.909390 15.246952 32.280655
2025-02-23 0.071237 0.302197 0.978858 2.805475 7.110689 15.980567 34.368914
2025-03-02 0.062061 0.279106 0.941001 2.782045 7.223570 16.542207 36.152927
2025-03-09 0.057241 0.270195 0.941342 2.854192 7.556784 17.568629 38.893135